Abstract

Abstract Background: The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay is a prognostic measurement originally established for distant recurrence in estrogen receptor-positive and node-negative breast cancer. Retrospective studies and the Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx; ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00310180) validated its significance besides testing chemotherapy benefit in patients with midrange RS (11-25). However, unclarity remains as to whether RS has comparable prognostic value for overall survival (OS) in the TAILORx trial population. Methods: Association between the recurrence scores (midrange or high-range 26-100 vs. low-range 0-10) and OS was evaluated in all eligible patients with clinicopathological and treatment information by multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model including RS, tumor size, tumor grades, chemotherapy, endocrine regimens, surgery type, progesterone receptor and demographics. We also evaluated the association between RS and invasive disease-free survival (DFS), recurrence-free interval (RFI) or distant recurrence-free interval (dRFI) by multivariable Cox analysis. Results: Median follow-up was 95.5 (range 0.1 to 138.6) months for OS, 89.6 months (range 0 to 134.8) for DFS, 87.7 (range 0 to 134.8) months for RFI or 87.6 (range 0-134.8) months for dRFI. Compared with low score group, midrange and high-range scores were associated with RFI and dRFI, respectively (P≤0.01 each). However, midrange score was neither associated with OS (adjusted HR 1.15; 95% CI 0.87-1.52; P=0.33) nor associated with DFS (HR 1.16; 95% CI 0.97-1.38; P=0.11). High-range score was associated with DFS (HR 1.58; 95% CI 1.21-2.06; P< 0.01) and had a trend towards association with OS (HR 1.44; 95% CI 0.95-2.19; P=0.08). Conclusions: The data indicate that the recurrence scores provide independent prognosis for breast cancer recurrence at both distant and locoregional sites and for distant recurrence, respectively. High-range score is prognostic of disease-free survival, with the midrange score showing marginal association. Midrange and high-range recurrence scores do not provide independent prognostic information for overall survival in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer in the TAILORx trial population. Citation Format: Sherry X. Yang, John Yu, Molin Wang. Association of 21-gene recurrence score with overall survival in phase 3 TAILORx trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-11-09.

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