Abstract

Introduction: Over six million U.S. adults have heart failure (HF). Evaluation of kidney function is critical to the care of patients with HF but may not be fully captured by traditional measures, such as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic HF (MAGGIC) risk score. Identifying patients at highest risk of progressive chronic renal insufficiency (PCRI) may improve risk stratification in HF, beyond these traditional measures. High-throughput proteomics has allowed for the development of PCRI risk scores based on novel kidney function biomarkers. However, the prognostic value of a proteomic-based PCRI risk score in HF has not been explored. Hypothesis: Proteomic-based PCRI risk scores will improve risk stratification in HF. Methods: Clinical data and plasma were collected from 1,389 patients in a HF community cohort from Southeastern Minnesota (2003-2012). Results from the aptamer-based technology SomaScan® were used to derive PCRI risk scores using the SomaSignal™ Kidney Prognosis test, a protein-based algorithm developed to predict risk of PCRI within four years. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the association between quintiles of PCRI and mortality, after adjustment for the MAGGIC score. Results: PCRI risk scores were available for 1,349 patients who were on average 75±13 years of age, 48% female, and had a median eGFR of 57 mL/min/1.73m 2 . There was a positive association with mortality across PCRI risk quintiles, after adjustment for the MAGGIC score. (Figure). Overall, the highest quintile was associated over a two-fold higher risk of mortality compared with the lowest quintile (HR 2.3, 95% CI 1.8,2.8). The higher risk of mortality remained in analyses stratified by patients with (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1,2.1) and without (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.4,3.5) an eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 . Conclusions: In this community HF cohort, proteomic-based PCRI risk scores improve risk stratification, independent of traditional measures of kidney function.

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