Abstract
Background: Brain infarcts, white matter hyperintensities (WMH), and brain atrophy appear to contribute to the development of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia in selected populations, but few prospective studies are available in general populations. Methods: The study included 732 black and white participants, sampled from the original ARIC cohort, who had 3T brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) scans, were free of MCI and dementia during 2011-13 (Visit 5), and were evaluated for cognitive impairment during 2016-17 (Visit 6, about 90% complete). We assessed the associations of brain infarcts, WMH, and brain volumes measured on MRI from 2011-2013 with incident MCI and dementia (combined), diagnosed using a computer algorithm based on specified criteria and comprehensive assessment at Visit 6. We used logistic regression, incorporating sampling weights, to evaluate the risk for incident MCI/dementia with adjustment for demographic covariates, major dementia risk factors, and history of cardiovascular diseases. Results: Participants had a median age of 75 (IQR: 71, 79) at Visit 5 (baseline); 62% (453) were female and 33% (242) were African American. There were 156 newly identified cases of MCI or dementia during a median follow-up time of 4.9 (IQR: 3.4, 5.2) years. The presence of any brain infarct was associated with a nonsignificantly higher risk of MCI/dementia (OR: 1.50; 95%CI: 0.87 to 2.58), but the only significant individual association was with cortical infarcts (OR: 1.99; 95%CI: 1.03 to 3.85). WMH volume above the median value was nonsignificantly associated with conversion to MCI/dementia. Smaller Alzheimer’s disease (AD) signature region was an independent predictor for greater risk of MCI/dementia (OR: 1.49; 95%CI: 1.00 to 2.22). A similar but nonsignificant association was observed for total brain volume. Conclusions: Brain infarcts (cortical infarcts) and lower brain volume (AD signature region), measured in community-based older residents, are risk factors for MCI and dementia incidence.
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