Abstract MP55: Red And Processed Meat And Alternative Protein Sources In Relation To Risk Of Fatal Coronary Heart Disease: A Pooled Analysis Of 16 Prospective Cohort Studies

Abstract

Background: Red and processed meat intake have been associated with higher risk of fatal coronary heart disease (CHD). However, very few studies have evaluated substitution of alternative protein sources for red and processed meat in relation to fatal CHD risk. Objective: We estimated the associations of substituting other animal and plant protein sources for total red meat, unprocessed red meat, and processed meat in relation to risk of fatal CHD. Methods: This pooled analysis was conducted within the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer and included participants with no prior self-reported history of cardiovascular diseases or cancer. Diet was assessed by cohort-specific food frequency questionnaires collected at baseline. Total red meat included processed meat and unprocessed red meat. Animal protein sources included seafood, poultry, eggs, and low- and high-fat dairy products; plant protein sources included nuts and beans. After adjusting for dietary and non-dietary factors, study-specific relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models and then pooled using a random effects model. Isocaloric dietary substitution was evaluated by differences in coefficients in models including red meat and all alternative protein sources described above as continuous variables. Results: In preliminary analyses of 16 prospective cohorts including 1,364,211 participants (40% men and mean age of 57 ± 10 years) followed for a maximum of 32 years across studies, we identified 51,176 fatal CHD cases. A 100g/day increment in total red meat intake was associated with a 7% higher risk of fatal CHD, RR=1.07 (95% CI 1.04, 1.10). Substitutions of 200 kcal/day from nuts, low- and high-fat dairy products, and poultry for 200 kcal/d from total red meat were associated with 6-14% lower risks of fatal CHD. These associations were stronger when substituting the alternative protein sources for processed meat, especially among women (n=14,888 cases, 17-24% lower risk). Substituting 200 kcal/day from eggs for 200 kcal/day from total red meat and unprocessed red meat was associated with 8 and 14% higher risk of fatal CHD, respectively; this substitution for processed meat was weaker and not significant (4%). Results were similar after excluding the first 4 years of follow-up. Conclusions: Preliminary results from this international pooled analysis of 16 cohort studies provide more evidence about the risks of red and processed meat consumption. Replacement of red and processed meat with nuts, dairy products, or poultry may reduce the risk of fatal CHD.