Abstract MP05: Impact of Gentrification on Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Outcomes in England: 2004-2018

Abstract

Introduction: Dynamic changes to neighborhoods due to forces such as gentrification impact the health of residents. Much of this research has been conducted within the United States, where racial disparities and access to healthcare impact risk for health outcomes. Internationally, other factors may play a more prominent role in the association between gentrification and cardiovascular risk factors and outcomes. Hypothesis: Residents living in gentrified vs. non-gentrified neighborhoods will have lower odds of diabetes (DM), hypertension (HTN), depression and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods: We defined gentrification using changes in domains of the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) at the level of the Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOA) in England from 2004-2010. We used all IMD domains (income, employment, education, crime, barriers to housing, and living environment), except the health domain, from 2004 and 2010 to define LSOA deprivation. The IMD for each LSOA was standardized to the mean IMD of England using z-scores. LSOAs were eligible to be gentrified if they had a positive z-score in 2004 and were considered to gentrify if they had a negative change in the transformed IMD from 2004 to 2010. We linked these data to individual participants in the Understanding Society Study (USS). The USS is a nationally representative cohort study of 60,000 United Kingdom residents started in 2009 with follow-up ongoing. We limited the analysis to residents in England who lived in top and bottom 25% deprived LSOAs (n=8782). We used multivariable logistic regression to calculate the odds ratio for self-reported DM, HTN, depression, and CVD in residents in neighborhoods that did and did not gentrify, adjusting for race, sex, length of residence (LOR), baseline IMD score, and baseline prevalence of health conditions. Results were stratified by age (<65 & >=65 years) and median LOR (<13 & >=13 years). Results: At baseline, 8782 participants had a median age of 43 years, 4% were black and 55% were female. There was no significant difference in the prevalence of DM, HTN, depression, or CVD at baseline. At follow-up, overall, there were no significant difference in the odds of DM, HTN, or CVD between residents living in gentrified vs. non-gentrified neighborhoods. Residents in neighborhoods that gentrified had a 39% lower odds of depression as compared to participants living in neighborhoods that did not gentrify (p=0.01). Results were not significantly modified by age or length of residence. Conclusions: Residents living in gentrified neighborhoods did not have differential risk for most CVD risk factors and outcomes as compared to residents living in neighborhoods that did not gentrify. However, the impact of gentrification on health is not uniform across all conditions. The positive health impact seen may suggest gentrification increases access to resources not present prior to gentrification.