Abstract

Introduction: Retinal microvascular abnormalities have been associated with stroke, but their association with dementia and death is less well described. We tested the hypothesis that retinopathy is associated with stroke, dementia, and age-adjusted mortality. Methods: Data were obtained from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys from 2005 to 2008, with linked mortality through 2015. Severity of retinopathy was defined as no retinopathy, mild nonproliferative retinopathy (NPR), moderate-severe NPR, and proliferative retinopathy. Logistic regression models were performed to evaluate the relationships between retinopathy, stroke, and dementia, respectively. Independent relationships between retinopathy and all-cause mortality were assessed using Cox regression models, before and after adjusting for covariates. All analyses were adjusted for the complex survey design. Results: Of 5,543 participants aged ≥18 years with gradable retinal imaging, 696 had retinopathy, 289 had stroke, and 597 had dementia. Mean age of subjects was 56.3 ± 11.7 years. Retinopathy was associated with higher risk of stroke (adj OR 2.39, P <0.001) and dementia (adj OR 1.68, P =0.005). Over a median duration of 118 months (IQR 111-125), there was a dose-dependent relationship between severity of retinopathy and all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratios were 1.0, 1.5, 2.4, 3.4 across retinopathy severity; P =0.021). The Figure shows the age-adjusted cumulative mortality curves by retinopathy severity. Conclusions: Participants with retinopathy have a greater than 2-fold increase in stroke risk and a 1.7-fold increase in dementia risk. Having more severe retinopathy confers a higher risk of death after adjusting for age and vascular risk factors. The retina may serve as a tissue biomarker in intervention trials for cerebrovascular and neurodegenerative diseases.

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