Abstract 62: Association of Cardiovascular Health Trajectories Through Young Adulthood With Later-Life Incident Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study

Abstract

Introduction: Associations of mid-life cardiovascular health (CVH) and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) are well-studied. Less is known about patterns of young adulthood (YA) CVH, including its changes, and associations with later-life CVD outcomes. Methods: CVH was defined by Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) score. First, we used latent class modeling (SAS Proc Traj) to determine trajectories of continuous CVH scores (0-100) for CARDIA participants with ≥3 CVH measurements in YA (from year [Y]0, mean age 25, to Y20, mean age 45). Second, we examined direction and magnitude of change in CVH status (low, moderate, or high) between 2 CVH measurements (at Y0 and Y20), comparing participants with increased, decreased, or stable CVH status. Outcomes included incident CVD (MI, heart failure, stroke, CVD death) after Y20. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate HRs for associations of YA CVH patterns with incident CVD. Results: There were 4,257 participants in YA (44% female, 48% Black) included. In the trajectory analysis, we identified four distinct CVH trajectory groups ( Figure 1A ): compared to the Persistently-High CVH group, the Moderate-Low-Declining and Moderate-Declining CVH trajectory groups had substantially higher hazards for incident CVD ( Figure 1B ). In the CVH status change analysis (N=2,884; Figure 1B ), compared to Stable High CVH in YA, Stable Low CVH had a 19-fold higher risk for incident CVD, and both increasing and decreasing CVH status in YA had greater risk for incident CVD as well. Conclusions: Trajectories of declining moderate and low CVH in YA had substantially higher risk for later-life incident CVD events. Those with decreasing CVH and those who started with lower CVH and improved it through YA, were also at higher risk. These data suggest that early life CVH and maintaining high CVH through YA are both important for prevention of later-life CVD.