Abstract

Background: The 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association high blood pressure (BP) guidelines recommend risk assessment of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) to inform hypertension (HTN) treatment in adults with elevated BP or low-risk stage 1 HTN. Use of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, an excellent imaging risk-prediction tool, to guide HTN therapy has not been well studied. Methods: Participants free of CVD were pooled from three population cohort studies; 1) Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, 2) Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults and 3) Jackson Heart Study. Risk for incident CVD events (heart failure, stroke or cardiovascular mortality) by the CAC status and the BP treatment group was assessed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios. The 10-year number needed to treat to prevent a single CVD event was also estimated. Results: This study included 11,499 participants (mean age 56 years; 55.2% women; 42.1% blacks). CAC score was non-zero in 38.2% of the participants. Over a median follow-up of 8.5 years, 910 incident CVD events occurred. Compared to those with zero CAC, participants with non-zero CAC score had a higher CVD incidence rate (per 1000 person-years) at all BP levels (elevated BP/low-risk stage 1 HTN: 14.5 vs 2.7; high-risk stage 1 or stage 2 HTN: 27.1 vs 8.8). Multivariable adjusted hazards of adverse CVD events displayed similar patterns ( Figure ). Among those with zero CAC, the 10-year number needed to treat to prevent 1 CVD event was 154 for those with elevated BP/low-risk stage 1 HTN and 47 for those with high-risk stage 1 or stage 2 HTN. Among those with non-zero CAC score, the number needed to treat was lower, 33 and 18 respectively. Conclusions: Utilization of CAC score may be an effective precision medicine approach to personalize HTN therapy in elevated BP or low-risk stage 1 HTN when treatment is not recommended by the current guidelines.

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