Abstract

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) led to a global pandemic. Comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, elevated cholesterol, cardiac/pulmonary diseases, and obesity were postulated as prognostic factors for a worse outcome. Hypothesis: Obese COVID-19 patients have a worse prognosis. Methods: From March to June 2020, we obtained data on all patients ≥18 y.o. who were admitted with a positive COVID-19 test at the Rush System, Chicago. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed between predictors and a composite outcome of intubation and in-hospital mortality. Results: Among the 1345 admitted patients, 69 (5%) were underweight (BMI<18.5kg/m2), 365 (27%) of normal weight (BMI 18.5-25kg/m2), 405 (30%) overweight (BMI 25-30kg/m2), 258 (19%) of obesity class I (BMI 30-35kg/m2), 119 (9%) of obesity class II (BMI 35-40kg/m2) and 129 (10%) of obesity class III (BMI >40kg/m2). In a multivariable model assessing the risk for the in-hospital death or intubation, underweight patients showed decreased risk (odds ratio (OR) 0.31) while obesity class III patients showed increased risk (OR 1.68, Figure 1) when compared to normal BMI. When accounting for obesity classes, male sex, atrial fibrillation and coronary artery disease were also independent predictors adverse outcomes. Conclusions: Consistent with previous research, morbidly obese patients had a higher risk for a worse outcome, even when accounting for numerous comorbidities. Underweight patients appeared to be protected. Higher body mass leads to inherent changes in lung function, increased risk of thrombosis, greater viral replication, higher release of adipokines and higher inflammation. Inversely, fewer adipocytes could possibly limit the risk for cytokine storm by reducing the amount of proinflammatory factors released. Figure: Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the outcome of death or intubation in all COVID-19 positive admitted patients.

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