Abstract

Introduction: Over 100 FDA-approved medications, electrolyte perturbations, and many disease states can prolong the QTc beyond its 99 th percentile value resulting in acquired QT prolongation. In contrast, approximately 1 in 2000 people have congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS) hallmarked by pathological QT prolongation secondary to genetic defects in the heart. Hypothesis: An artificial intelligence (AI) deep neural network (DNN) can distinguish patients with LQTS from those with acquired QT prolongation. Methods: The study cohort included all patients with LQTS evaluated in the Windland Smith Rice Genetic Heart Rhythm Clinic and controls from Mayo Clinic’s ECG data vault comprising over 2.5 million patients. For the AI-DNN model, every patient/control with ≥ 1 ECG above age- and sex- specific 99 th percentile values for QTc [> 460 ms for all patients (male/female) < 13 years of age, or > 470 ms for men and > 480 ms for women above this age] was included. An AI-DNN involving a multi-layer c onvolutional n eural n etwork (CNN) was developed to classify patients. LQTS patients were age- and sex- matched to controls at 1:5 ratio. Results: Among the 1,599 patients with genetically confirmed LQTS, 808 had ≥ 1 ECG with QTc above the threshold (2,987 ECGs) compared to 361,069/2.5M controls (14% of Mayo Clinic patients getting an ECG, ‘presumed negative’; 989,313 ECGs). Following age- and sex- matching and splitting, 3,309 (training), 411 (validation) and 887 (testing) control ECGs were used. This model distinguished LQTS from those with acquired QT prolongation with an AUC of 0.896 (accuracy 85%, sensitivity 77%, specificity 88%, PPV 0.58, NPV 0.94). After exclusion of patients with a wide QRS (>150 ms) or pacemaker, the model remained successful in distinguishing the two groups (AUC 0.85, accuracy 78%, sensitivity 78%, specificity 87%, PPV 59%, NPV 94%). Conclusions: For patients with a QTc exceeding its 99 th percentile values, this novel AI-DNN functions as a LQTS mutation detector being able to identify patients with abnormal QT prolongation secondary to a LQTS-causative mutation rather than acquired QT prolongation with a >50% positive predictive value. This algorithm may facilitate screening for this potentially lethal, yet highly treatable, genetic heart disease.

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