Abstract
Background: It is not well quantified if diabetes mellitus (DM) as a cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk equivalent depends on DM severity and other CVD risk factors. Methods: We pooled 4 US community-based cohorts (ARIC, JHS, MESA, FHS Offspring) and classified subjects by baseline DM/CVD status. DM+/CVD- was further classified by DM duration, HbA1c control or DM medication. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated for CVD during a median follow-up of 14 years. Subgroup analysis comparing the HR of DM+/CVD- vs. DM-/CVD+ was done by CVD risk factors. We integrated all factors that impacted DM-conferred CVD risk and defined one with DM+/CVD- as CVD risk equivalent when his/her CVD risk was as high or higher than that if he/she had DM-/CVD+. CVD risk profile and event risk were compared between the CVD risk equivalent subgroups in DM+/CVD-. Results: The pooled cohort included 27,732 adults (mean age of 58 years, 45% males). CVD event rates per 1000 P-Y were 16.3, 33.3, 40.9 and 69.0 among those with DM-/CVD-, DM+/CVD-, DM-/CVD+ and DM+/CVD+, respectively. DM participants with HbA1c≥7%, DM duration over 10 years, or DM medication use had similar CVD risk as those with DM-/CVD+ while those without these factors had lower CVD risk; DM+/CVD- had similar CVD risk as those DM-/CVD+ among women, age <55 years, White race, or high triglyceride groups (Figure). Among those with DM+/CVD-, 17.5% were found to be CVD risk equivalents. Compared to those non-CVD risk equivalent DM, they had lower 10-year PCE scores (14.8% vs. 22.7%, p<0.0001) however higher actual CVD event rates (44.9 vs. 31.0 per 1000 P-Y). Conclusion: Among CVD-free adults with DM, fewer than 20% are actually CVD risk equivalents. Poor HbA1c control, long DM duration, and current diabetes medication use were identified as predictors of CVD risk equivalent status and DM was more detrimental for CVD risk if one is female, younger age, White, or with high triglycerides. These risk enhancing factors should be considered in the treatment decision.
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