Abstract

Background: Using data from the VICTORIA ECHO substudy in high-risk patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), we evaluated the potential complementary role of cardiac function, biomarkers, and proteomics in association with cardiovascular death (CVD), a key component of the primary composite (HF hospitalization or CVD). Hypothesis: Measurement of cardiac biomarkers, proteins, and ECHO parameters may provide insights into the mechanism of CVD in HFrEF. Methods: At baseline, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVI) on ECHO, 6 quantitative biomarkers, and 92 proteins (Olink CVD III panel) were assessed by blinded core labs. Adjusted (MAGGIC) associations and HRs (95% CIs) are presented. Proteomics associations were adjusted for false discovery rate. Results: Of 583 patients, 96 (16.5%) had CVD (21.6/100 pt-years) a median 8 months (IQR 6-11) from randomization. See Table for MAGGIC-adjusted HRs for LVEF, LVESVI, and biomarkers. NT-proBNP was most strongly associated with CVD (HR per doubling 1.53 [1.32-1.77]). Proteins significantly associated with CVD were cathepsin D (2.32 [1.62-3.32]), matrix metalloproteinase-2 (2.31 [1.45-3.68]), IL-2 receptor (1.74 [1.40-2.14]), transferrin receptor (1.64 [1.31-2.04]) and tumor necrosis superfamily (1.88 [1.41-2.50]) (Fig). Conclusions: After MAGGIC adjustment, a rise in LVESVI, but not LVEF, was associated with CVD. Upregulation of selected biomarkers/proteins related to myocardial wall stress, extracellular matrix turnover, inflammation, and oxidative stress were also associated with CVD and may serve as novel future therapeutic targets in HFrEF.

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