Abstract

Introduction: Blood pressure (BP) is a significant predictor for chronic kidney disease (CKD). Hypothesis: We sought to evaluate whether the progression of CKD in diabetic patients, without a history of atherosclerotic events, is dependent on BP control. Methods: The Japanese primary prevention of atherosclerosis with aspirin for diabetes (JPAD) trial was a multicenter, prospective, randomized, open label, blinded, end-point study done from 2002 to 2008. After completion of the JPAD trial, we followed up the patients until 2019. We defined late-stage kidney disease (LSKD) as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <30 ml/min/1.73m 2 or hemodialysis. Among 2,536 JPAD patients, 27 patients were excluded for eGFR <30ml/min/1.73m 2 on registration. BP of the JPAD patients was recorded on average 8 times. Based on the mean value of systolic BP (SBP), we divided the patients into three groups: a High BP Group (n=607, SBP≥140 mm Hg); a Moderate BP Group (n=989, 140>SBP≥130 mm Hg); or a Low BP Group (n=913, SBP<130 mm Hg). We compared the incidence of LSKD among the three groups. Results: The mean eGFR (ml/min/1.73m 2 ) was 75.1 in the High BP Group, 72.6 in the Moderate BP Group, and 75.7 in the Low BP Group on registration. During a 11.2-year follow-up, the incidence of LSKD was significantly higher in the High BP and Moderate BP Groups than in the Low BP Group (P<0.0018, Figure). Cox proportional hazards model analysis revealed that the High BP (HR, 1.57, P=0.049) and Moderate BP (HR, 1.52, P=0.037) were independent factors after adjustment for proteinuria≥±, age≥65 years, men, body mass index≥24 kg/m 2 , duration of diabetes ≥7.0 years, statin usage, aspirin usage, eGFR≥60 ml/min/1.73m 2 , and hemoglobin A1c ≥7.2 % (Figure). Conclusions: Our study demonstrated that SBP was independently associated with the progression to LSKD in diabetic patients, without a history of atherosclerotic events. SBP less than 130 mm Hg is recommended for diabetic patients to prevent progression to LSKD.

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