Abstract

Introduction: Circulating biomarkers may improve prediction of cardiovascular (CV) events in chronic coronary disease (CCD). The incremental value of biomarkers in CCD after adjustment for clinical factors, inducible ischemia and coronary artery disease (CAD) severity is uncertain. Methods: 756 ISCHEMIA (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness with Medical and Invasive Approaches) participants with site-determined moderate-severe ischemia and 9 assayed biomarkers (Figure) were included. Among participants with interpretable stress tests for ischemia and CAD by computed coronary tomography angiography (CCTA) (N=507), associations of biomarkers with the primary (CV death, myocardial infarction (MI), or hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or resuscitated cardiac arrest) or secondary endpoints (CV death or MI) were evaluated using sequentially adjusted multivariable Cox proportional hazards models (Model 1=unadjusted, Model 2=clinical features, Model 3=Model 2 + multivessel CAD by CCTA, and Model 4=Model 3 + severe ischemia). Results: Median (IQR) participant age was 64 (57-70) years, 19% were female, 81% white, and 5% Hispanic. Hypertension (85%), diabetes (46%) and obesity (45%) were common, 28% had an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73m 2 . Severe ischemia was present in 44%, and 39% had multivessel CAD (≥70% stenosis) by CCTA. Over 3.5 (2.4-4.7) years of follow-up there were 146 (19%) primary and 128 (17%) secondary endpoints. Soluble CD40L, GDF-15, NT-proBNP, hsTnT were associated with the primary and secondary endpoints in univariable and multivariable (adjusting for clinical features, multivessel CAD and severe ischemia) models. Conclusion: Biomarkers of inflammation (GDF-15), thrombosis (sCD40L), myocardial stretch (NT-proBNP) and injury (hs-troponin) were associated with CV endpoints in the ISCHEMIA trial independent of clinical features, multivessel CAD and severe ischemia.

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