Abstract

Introduction: Peripheral microvascular endothelial dysfunction (PMED) is a marker and precursor of atherosclerosis and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events. The present study aims to identify the best cut-off value of PMED, assessed by the reactive hyperemia index, in predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Additionally, we investigate whether integrating PMED to CHA2DS2-Vasc score improves the predicting accuracy of cardiovascular disease. Methods: this is a retrospective study of patients who underwent reactive hyperemia peripheral arterial tonometry (PAT). The optimal cut-off value of reactive hyperemia index associated with MACE was calculated using the area under the receiver-operating curve and the maximum Youden index. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as age, sex, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, stroke, vascular disease were determined to calculate the CHA2DS2-VASc score. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction, heart failure hospitalization, and cerebrovascular events. Results: 1,690 patients were enrolled (average age 51.1±13.9, 64.1% female). The optimal cut-off value of the reactive hyperemia index was 2.0 in the overall population and females and 2.17 in males. The risk of MACE during 10 (Interquartile range: 4,16) years of follow-up was 15.3%. Multivariable logistic regression revealed that PMED as an independent predictor of MACE (PMED: OR, 3.6, 95% CI, 2.6-4.9, p<0.001) (Table1). Furthermore, integrating PMED to CHA2DS2-VASc significantly improved the predictive accuracy (area under the curve, 0.747 vs. 0.708, p<0.001). Conclusion: PMED is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events. Non-invasive assessment of peripheral endothelial function may be useful in early detection and improving the stratification of high-risk patients for cardiovascular events.

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