Abstract 13230: Bone Morphogenetic Protein 10 - A Novel Biomarker of Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Abstract

Background: Biomarkers specifically related to the atrial tissue might increase the understanding of the pathophysiology and improve risk prediction in atrial fibrillation (AF). Bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) is a novel biomarker expressed in atrial myocardium. We evaluated the association between BMP10 and the risk of stroke, bleeding, and death in patients with AF not treated with oral anticoagulation. Methods: BMP10 was measured in 2,974 plasma samples collected at randomisation in patients with AF randomized to aspirin in two cohorts, the ACTIVE-A (n=951) and AVERROES (n=2023) trials, median follow-up of 3.8 and 1.2 years, respectively. BMP10 was analysed with a prototype Elecsys electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Associations between BMP10 and outcomes were evaluated by Cox-regression analyses adjusted for clinical characteristics, kidney function, and NT-proBNP. Results: Median age was 71 years, 58.1% were men. The median concentration of BMP10 was 2.46 (25 th -75 th percentiles, 2.09 - 2.94) ng/L. The variables most strongly associated with higher BMP10 levels were: heart rhythm (AF vs sinus), older age, female sex, lower BMI, and kidney dysfunction. BMP10 was the baseline variable most strongly associated with ischemic stroke during follow-up (Figure). After adjustments, the hazard ratio for ischemic stroke (BMP10 3rd vs 1st quartile) was 1.57 [95%CI 1.08-2.28], p=0.025), and the discriminatory value (c-index) was 0.643 (vs 0.634 of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score) and improved the full model from 0.737 to 0.746. BMP10 was not associated with bleeding or death. The results were consistent across both cohorts and irrespective of cardiac rhythm at blood sampling. Conclusions: In patients with AF, circulating plasma levels of BMP10 are independently associated with the risk of ischemic stroke but not with bleeding or death. BMP10 has an incremental discriminatory value for the risk of ischemic stroke, and may be a novel specific biomarker in patients with AF.