Abstract

Background: Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk has been jointly associated with levels of LDL cholesterol (LDL-C), lipoprotein [Lp](a)] and the inflammatory marker high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP). It is unclear whether and to what extent each of these biomarkers predict ASCVD risk after acute coronary syndrome (ACS), particularly in the era of intensive LDL-C lowering. Recent analysis of 3 trials in stable ASCVD patients with hypertriglyceridemia suggested that hsCRP may be a stronger predictor for recurrent events than LDL-C; however, only 52% received high-intensity statin. Methods: The ODYSSEY OUTCOMES trial enrolled post-ACS patients not at goal for atherogenic lipoproteins a median of 2.6 months after ACS and on treatment with maximum tolerated (89% high-intensity) atorvastatin or rosuvastatin. Absolute risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE, the primary composite outcome of coronary heart disease death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, fatal/nonfatal ischemic stroke or unstable angina hospitalization) and all-cause death were analyzed as a function of baseline LDL-C, hs-CRP, and Lp(a) values in patients randomized to the placebo arm via natural cubic splines from Poisson regression models, adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, BMI, current smoking, and the other 2 predictor variables. Results: Among 9149 evaluable patients, median (Q1-Q3) LDL-C, hsCRP, and Lp(a) were 81 (71-97) mg/dL, 1.7 (0.8-3.9) mg/L, and 21.4 (6.6-60.1) mg/dL, respectively. For each parameter, a higher baseline value was associated with a substantial increase in risk of MACE ( Figure , all spline p<0.0001). LDL-C and hsCRP were associated with all-cause death (p<0.0001), but not Lp(a) (p>0.05). Conclusion: In ACS patients receiving intensive statin therapy and not at goal for atherogenic lipoproteins, LDL-C, hs-CRP, and Lp(a) were independent predictors of MACE. LDL-C and hsCRP were independent predictors of all-cause death.

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