Abstract

Introduction: Somatic mutations accrue in hematopoietic stem cells with age and can lead to selective clonal expansion, a process termed Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential (CHIP). CHIP has been associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and myocardial infarction (MI). Whether CHIP is a risk factor for incident heart failure is unclear. Methods: The presence of CHIP was assessed in exome sequence data from 200,628 UKB participants using the Genome Analysis Toolkit pipeline and filtering somatic mutations from a pre-specified list within DNMT3A , TET2 , and ASXL1 . CHIP was defined as somatic mutations in these 3 genes with variant allele fraction (VAF) >10%. We ascertained incident heart failure (overall, ischemic, and non-ischemic), death, cardiovascular death, and coronary heart disease (CHD defined as of MI and/or coronary revascularization) as determined by UKB algorithms, self-report, and diagnosis/procedure codes. Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age, sex, self-reported race/ethnicity, diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and BMI were used to assess whether CHIP was associated with incident adverse events. Results: We identified 3,885 participants with CHIP in DNMT3A , TET2 , and ASXL1 at a VAF of >10%. Over a median follow-up of 9 years, 2,055 participants developed incident heart failure. CHIP was associated with both ischemic and non-ischemic heart failure. We replicated previously reported associations of CHIP with death and incident CHD ( Table ). Conclusions: CHIP was associated with increased risk of both ischemic and non-ischemic heart failure. The association with ischemic subtype is likely mediated by the increased risk of CHD. The basis for the increased hazard of non-ischemic heart failure is unclear but may be due to an inflammatory milieu in CHIP carriers.

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