Abstract

Introduction: Acute pericarditis is an inflammatory disease associated with a non-negligible risk of acute complications and future recurrence. The exact incidence of pericarditis recurrence in patients with a first uncomplicated clinical course is, however, unknown. Objectives: We sought to evaluate the incidence and clinical predictors of recurrence after a first episode of acute uncomplicated pericarditis in a large urban hospital in the USA. Methods: We conducted a retrospective review, through electronic health records, to complete a database that includes patients admitted with a first episode of acute pericarditis (according to ESC criteria) and then selected only those with uncomplicated course (without in-hospital death, large pericardial effusion [>20 mm] or tamponade, constriction, or failure of treatment) at the VCU Medical Center (Richmond, VA) between 2009 and 2018. Results: A total of 240 patients met acute pericarditis criteria: 174 (72%) patients had an uncomplicated course (median age was 50 [interquartile range 34 to 62] years, 45% females, 51% Black). Pericarditis was considered idiopathic in 89 patients (51%). During a median follow-up time of 184 [17- 434] days, 23 (13%) patients experienced at least one episode of recurrent pericarditis. When compared with those without recurrence, patients with recurrent pericarditis were more frequently females (15 [65%] vs 63 [42%], p=0.035) and had a higher prevalence of subacute/delayed presentation (defined as symptoms over several days without a clear-cut acute onset) (3 [13%] vs 1 [0.7%], p=0.008). There were no other clinical (including the use of anti-inflammatory therapies and pericarditis etiology) or laboratory differences between those with and without pericarditis recurrence at follow-up. At multivariate logistic regression analysis only subacute presentation remained predictor of recurrence at follow-up (odds ratio 20, 95% confidence interval [1.81-198.11], p=0.014). Conclusions: Approximately one every six patients with an acute pericarditis experience a recurrence over a 6-month median follow-up despite an initial uncomplicated course. Subjects with subacute presentation were at significantly higher risk of recurrence.

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