Abstract

Background: Coffee intake has been linked to lower type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk. We hypothesized this may be mediated by coffee’s effects on inflammation. Methods: Using participants from the UK Biobank (UKB n=145370) and Rotterdam Study (RS n=7172) cohorts, we studied associations of coffee intake with incident T2D; longitudinally measured insulin resistance (HOMA IR); serum levels of inflammation markers; and the mediating role of inflammation. Statistical regression models were adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle and health factors. Results: The median follow up was 7 (UKB) and 9 (RS) years. An increase of one coffee cup/day was associated with 4-6% lower T2D risk (RS HR=0.94 [95% CI 0.90; 0.98]; UKB HR=0.96 [0.94; 0.98]); lower HOMA IR (RS β=-0.017 [-0.024; -0.010]); with lower C reactive protein (CRP) and higher adiponectin (Figure1). Consumers of filtered coffee had the lowest T2D risk (UKB HR=0.88 [0.83; 0.93]). CRP levels mediated 9.6% (UKB) and 3.4% (RS) of the total effect of coffee on T2D (Figure 1). Conclusions: We suggest that coffee’s beneficial effects on lower T2D risk are partially mediated by improvements in systemic inflammation.Figure 1. a CRP and a adiponectin refer to the effect of coffee intake on CRP and adiponectin levels. a CRP RS : β=-0.014 (-0.022; -0.005); UKBB a CRP UKB : β=-0.011 (-0.012; -0.009) and RS a adiponectin : β=0.025 (0.007; 0.042). b CRP and b adiponectin refer to the effect of coffee related levels in CRP and adiponectin on incident T2D, independent of coffee. RS b CRP : HR=1.17 (1.04; 1.31); UKB b CRP : HR=1.45 (1.37; 1.54); and b adiponectin : HR=0.58 (0.32; 0.83). c′ refers to coffee’ effect on T2D going directly or via others mediators. UKB c′ independent of CRP : HR=0.96 (0.94; 0.99); RS c′ independent of CRP : HR=0.94 (0.90; 0.99); and RS c′ independent of CRP+adiponectin : HR=0.90 (0.80; 1.01). Coffee related changes in CRP may partially explain the beneficial link between coffee and T2D, mediating a 3.4% (0.6; 4.8, RS) and 9.6% (5.7; 24.4, UKB). Evidence of mediation was also found for adiponectin.

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