Abstract

Dengue incidence is dependent on abiotic factors that directly affect the population dynamics of mosquitoes with serious implications for dengue transmission. By using estimated entomological parameters dependent on temperature, and including the dependency of these parameters on rainfall, the seasonally varying population size of the mosquito Aedes aegypti is evaluated using a mathematical model. The anthropophilic and peridomestic female A. aegypti bite humans for blood to mature fertilised eggs, during which the dengue virus can spread between mosquitoes and humans. As an example of applied entomology, mosquito and human populations are coupled to assess dengue virus transmission. Seasonal patterns of mosquito populations influence dengue epidemics, illustrating the importance of temperature and rainfall in designing control mechanisms.

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