Abstract

Abstract. The high spatio-temporal variability of precipitation is often difficult to characterise due to limited measurements. The available low-resolution global reanalysis datasets inadequately represent the spatio-temporal variability of precipitation relevant to catchment hydrology. The Bureau of Meteorology Atmospheric high-resolution Regional Reanalysis for Australia (BARRA) provides a high-resolution atmospheric reanalysis dataset across the Australasian region. For hydrometeorological applications, however, it is essential to properly evaluate the sub-daily precipitation from this reanalysis. In this regard, this paper evaluates the sub-daily precipitation from BARRA for a period of 6 years (2010–2015) over Australia against point observations and blended radar products. We utilise a range of existing and bespoke metrics for evaluation at point and spatial scales. We examine bias in quantile estimates and spatial displacement of sub-daily rainfall at a point scale. At a spatial scale, we use the fractions skill score as a spatial evaluation metric. The results show that the performance of BARRA precipitation depends on spatial location, with poorer performance in tropical relative to temperate regions. A possible spatial displacement during large rainfall is also found at point locations. This displacement, evaluated by comparing the distribution of rainfall within a day, could be quantified by considering the neighbourhood grids. On spatial evaluation, hourly precipitation from BARRA is found to be skilful at a spatial scale of less than 100 km (150 km) for a threshold of 75th percentile (90th percentile) at most of the locations. The performance across all the metrics improves significantly at time resolutions higher than 3 h. Our evaluations illustrate that the BARRA precipitation, despite discernible spatial displacements, serves as a useful dataset for Australia, especially at sub-daily resolutions. Users of BARRA are recommended to properly account for possible spatio-temporal displacement errors, especially for applications where the spatial and temporal characteristics of rainfall are deemed very important.

Highlights

  • Precipitation is highly variable across both space and time, especially at spatial and temporal scales relevant to catchment hydrology (Michaelides et al, 2009)

  • The objective of this paper is to present an evaluation of sub-daily BARRA precipitation at temporal and spatial resolutions that are relevant to catchment hydrology applications

  • This is partly due to reduced inherent bias arising from the adoption of longer temporal accumulations, which reduces the potential for differences in timing between observations and model estimates

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Summary

Introduction

Precipitation is highly variable across both space and time, especially at spatial and temporal scales relevant to catchment hydrology (Michaelides et al, 2009). An understanding of the spatio-temporal pattern of precipitation is vital for many scientific and operational applications, such as hydro-climatic modelling and the forecasting of floods (Golding et al, 2016; Kucera et al, 2013; Paschalis et al, 2014). This understanding relies on access to high-resolution precipitation datasets. The general sources of precipitation data are gauge measurements, ground-based radars, satellites, and atmospheric reanalysis models (Michaelides et al, 2009). Global reanalysis datasets (e.g. NCEP-CFSR, Saha et al, 2010; ERA-Interim, Dee et al, 2011; JRA-55, Kobayashi et al, 2015) and satellite products (e.g. TMPA, Huffman et al, 2007; IMERG, Huffman et al, 2018) provide a continuous and consistent estimate at varying spatial (0.05 to 2.5◦) and temporal resolution (hourly to daily)

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