Abstract

We used Bayesian evolutionary analysis to study linguistic data and infer phylogenetic trees of language evolution. Languages were encoded as binary strings indicating the presence or absence of members of cognate classes, the equivalence of classes of words with similar meaning, and shared ancestry. These strings formed the alignment data used to compute the posterior likelihood of a tree with respect to Bayes’ formula. Informative priors are crucial for testing hypotheses regarding the age of common ancestry and divergence times and should include as much available information as possible. Here, we investigated the birth–death process as a method to construct tree priors specifically suitable for modeling the evolution of cognate data. To test these models, we will use a dataset of the languages from Vanuatu, an island nation featuring world’s highest language density.

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