Abstract

Basin response to precipitation variability by terrestrial hydrological processes may be manifested at different timescales and vary from one basin to another. A quantitative grasp of natural variability modulation is desirable for characterizing basin tendency or vulnerability on floods and droughts; quantification is not always straightforward, however. Using a macro-scale hydrological model, the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, the hydrological time series (runoff, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration) were obtained for the 10 sub-basins over the Pearl River basin in South China for the period 1952–2000. A continuous wavelet transform was used to identify the characteristics of the temporal scales of basin-featured extreme events and related multiple-scale variabilities. By use of wavelet coherence analysis and rank correlation method, the cross correlations of monthly anomalies of hydrological processes were examined. The results showed that the runoff correlated most with, and the evapotranspiration had less response to, the precipitation variability. The analyzed results revealed that the attenuation effect of runoff in response to precipitation variability was mainly within the timescale of 2 yr in the Pearl River basin. The soil moisture variability can extend precipitation variation along with timescales. With understanding of the variability features of the terrestrial hydrological processes, this paper showed one geomorphic index, a basin form factor (FF), can represent the wavelet-based indices for high- and low-frequency responses to precipitation variability. It was found that, for a sub-basin with a higher FF value, precipitation variability can be represented more by runoff variability at less than 2-yr timescales; such a sub-basin is apt to have serious floods. With a lower FF value, a sub-basin has longer memory of soil moisture, leading to severe droughts during dry periods. This finding would be valuable to evaluate the tendency on occurrence of floods and droughts in the Pearl River basin, a humid region, which may be transferable to other basins in the globe.

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