A typical meteorological day (TMD) approach for predicting the long-term performance of solar energy systems

Abstract

A method for predicting the long-term performance of solar energy systems, based on the analysis of system performance for one particular day—the typical meteorological day (TMD)—is presented. The TMD is constructed from the cumulative time distribution of insolation values on the collector aperture. The TMD method requires little calculational effort and a small data base relative to standard yearly computer simulations. Good agreement is found between the predictions of the new method and the corresponding results of the F -f-chart method. The TMD method is of particular value for cases that may often be treated inaccurately by simple calculational methods: (1) high threshold problems; (2) systems with short response times (e.g., due to small storage); and (3) systems in which collectors other than flat plates are used (the method is applicable to all solar collector types).