A two-stage optimization method for improving the load flexibility of existing district energy systems

Abstract

Decarbonization of district energy systems is essential for China to meet its carbon neutrality goal by 2060. Most existing district energy systems are missing historical load data and have incomplete information, resulting in a lack of data support for the low-carbon transition. Moreover, demand-side load flexibility has not been fully exploited in the planning stage. In this paper, we developed a two-stage computational approach to optimize district loads. We first established an integrated Python framework, incorporating the TEASER simulation tool and AixLib model library, to efficiently calculate baseline loads through the bottom-up modeling and simulation of district buildings. Then, a price-based integrated demand response strategy was introduced. A mixed-integer nonlinear programming model was formulated to optimize the energy pricing strategy with the objective of minimum load fluctuations. Finally, a case study was employed to illustrate the feasibility of the calculation method, showing a normalized mean bias error of 7.17%. The results further demonstrated that the strategy could reduce the peak electric and heat loads by 3.55% and 9.57%, and increase load rates by 3.85% and 9.48%, respectively. The strategy could assist district energy service providers to optimize equipment capacity configuration and enhance the low-carbon planning potential of energy systems from the demand-side.