A two-body continuous-discrete filter

Abstract

In the theory of classical mechanics, the two-body central forcing problem is formulated as a system of the coupled nonlinear second-order deterministic differential equations. The uncertainty introduced by the small, unmodeled stochastic acceleration is not assumed in the particle dynamics. The small, unmodeled stochastic acceleration produces an additional random force on a particle. Estimation algorithms for a two-body dynamics, without introducing the stochastic perturbation, may cause inaccurate estimation of a particle trajectory. Specifically, this paper examines the effect of the stochastic acceleration on the motion of the orbiting particle, and subsequently, the stochastic estimation algorithm is developed by deriving the evolutions of conditional means and conditional variances for estimating the states of the particle-earth system. The theory of the nonlinear filter of this paper is developed using the Kolmogorov forward equation “between the observations" and a functional difference equation for the conditional probability density “at the observation." The effectiveness of the nonlinear filter is examined on the basis of its ability to preserve perturbation effect felt by the orbiting particle and the signal-to-noise ratio. The Kolmogorov forward equation, however, is not appropriate for the numerical simulations, since it is the equation for the evolution of “the conditional probability density." Instead of the Kolmogorov equation, one derives the evolutions for the moments of the state vector, which in our case consists of positions and velocities of the orbiting body. Even these equations are not appropriate for the numerical implementations, since they are not closed in the sense that computing the evolution of a given moment involves the knowledge of higher order moments. Hence, we consider the approximations to these moment evolution equations. This paper makes a connection between classical mechanics, statistical mechanics and the theory of the nonlinear stochastic filtering. The results of this paper will be of use to astrophysicists, engineers and applied mathematicians, who are interested in applications of the nonlinear filtering theory to the problems of celestial and satellite mechanics. Simulation results are introduced to demonstrate the usefulness of an analytic theory developed, in this paper.