Abstract

Background: This meta-analysis aimed to estimate the shape of the dose-response association between objectively-assessed daily sedentary time (ST) and all-cause mortality, and to explore whether there is a threshold of ST above which there is an increase in mortality risk in older adults. Methods: Searches for prospective cohort studies providing effect estimates of daily ST (exposure) on all-cause mortality (outcome) were undertaken in five databases up to 31 March 2019. A random-effects meta-regression model was conducted to quantify the dose-response relationship between daily ST and all-cause mortality. Sensitivity analyses were also performed to test the stability of the results. Results: Our analysis of pooled data from 11 eligible studies did not reveal a consistent shape of association between ST and mortality. After excluding three studies with potential confounding bias, there was a log-linear dose-response relationship between daily ST and all-cause mortality. Overall, higher amounts of time spent in sedentary behaviors were associated with elevated mortality risks in older adults. Visual assessments of dose-response relationships based on meta-regression analyses indicated that increased mortality risks became significant when total ST exceeded approximately 9 h/day. Conclusions: Based on a limited number of studies, this meta-analysis provides a starting point for considering a cut-off of daily sedentary time, suggesting older adults spend less time in daily sitting.

Highlights

  • Sedentary behaviors such as television viewing, reading, computer/tablet use, passive transport, and sitting and lying down are common among older adults

  • Each study was adjusted for age and sex, while 7 out of 11 studies adjusted for body mass index (BMI), and 9 studies for education and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA), 10 studies for smoking, 8 studies for alcohol consumption, 4 studies for hypertension, 6 studies for diabetes and cancer each

  • It has been argued that the current evidence concerning sedentary behaviors has not been sufficient to inform quantitative public health guidelines due to the lack of long-term prospective studies using objective measures of sedentary time (ST) [6]

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Summary

Introduction

Sedentary behaviors such as television viewing, reading, computer/tablet use, passive transport, and sitting and lying down are common among older adults. Previous reviews have argued that higher amounts of ST are associated with increased risks of all-cause mortality in older adults [7], but a recent systematic qualitative review of prospective studies with objectively-assessed measures reported inconsistent results [2]. The inconsistent findings among studies with device-based ST assessments in older adults may be due to confounding effects that deserve further investigation This meta-analysis aimed to estimate the shape of the dose-response association between objectively-assessed daily sedentary time (ST) and all-cause mortality, and to explore whether there is a threshold of ST above which there is an increase in mortality risk in older adults. Visual assessments of dose-response relationships based on meta-regression analyses indicated that increased mortality risks became significant when total ST exceeded approximately 9 h/day. Conclusions: Based on a limited number of studies, this meta-analysis provides a starting point for considering a cut-off of daily sedentary time, suggesting older adults spend less time in daily sitting

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