A Three-Stage Data-Driven Approach for Determining Reaction Wheels’ Remaining Useful Life Using Long Short-Term Memory

Abstract

Reaction wheels are widely used in the attitude control system of small satellites. Unfortunately, reaction wheels failure restricts the efficacy of a satellite, and it is one of the many reasons leading to premature abandonment of the satellites. This study observes the measurable system parameter of a faulty reaction wheel induced with incipient fault to estimate the remaining useful life of the reaction wheels. We achieve this goal in three stages, as none of the observable system parameters are directly related to the health of a reaction wheel. In the first stage, we identify the necessary observable system parameter and predict the future of these parameters using sensor acquired data and a long short-term memory recurrent neural network. In the second stage, we estimate the health index parameter using a multivariate long short-term memory network. In the third stage, we predict the remaining useful life of reaction wheels based on historical data of the health index parameter. Normalized root mean squared error is used to evaluate the performance of the various models in each stage. Additionally, three different timespans (short, moderate, and extended in the scale of small satellite orbit times) are simulated and tested for the performance of the proposed methodology regarding the malfunction of reaction wheels. Furthermore, the robustness of the proposed method to missing values, input frequency, and noise is studied. The results show promising performance for the proposed scheme with accuracy in predicting health index parameter around 0.01–0.02 normalized root mean squared error, the accuracy in prediction of RUL of 1%–2.5%, and robustness to various uncertainty factors, as discussed above.