A systematic review and meta-analysis of KRAS status as the determinant of response to anti-EGFR antibodies and the impact of partner chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer

Abstract

BackgroundIn the setting of metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), anti-EGFR antibodies are not currently recommended for individuals with KRAS mutant tumours. This is based on subgroup analyses of individual clinical trials rather than a formal synthesis of evidence for KRAS status as a predictive biomarker, while newer trials report no benefit for anti-EGFR antibodies irrespective of KRAS status. This study systematically reviewed the evidence for KRAS mutation status as a treatment effect modifier of response to anti-EGFR antibodies and the influence of partner chemotherapy. MethodsMedline (1966–2010), EMBASE and American and European oncology meeting abstracts were searched for randomised controlled trials reporting the influence of KRAS status on effectiveness of anti-EGFR antibodies in metastatic CRC. The treatment efficacy was summarised by KRAS status using hazard ratios (HR) for progression-free survival (PFS) and risk differences (RD) for objective response. For each study, a measure of effect modification was calculated, and aggregated using random effects meta-analysis to assess the interaction between KRAS and treatment effect. FindingsEleven studies (8924 patients) were selected from 198 reports. Two studies assessed anti-EGFR antibodies as monotherapy and nine their use with chemotherapy. KRAS status was reported in 7555 cases. In subgroup analysis, the progression HR for KRAS wild patients assigned to anti-EGFR antibodies was 0.80 (4436 patients 95%CI: 0.64, 0.99) and for mutant cases 1.11 (3119 patients, 95%CI: 0.97, 1.27). A significant treatment effect interaction between KRAS status and addition of anti-EGFR antibodies to standard treatment was found for PFS (ratio of HRs 0.71, 95%CI: 0.57, 0.90 p=0.005) and response rate difference (difference in RDs 15%, 95%CI: 8, 22%, p<0.001). There was no evidence that the extent of effect modification differed between chemotherapeutic partners for both PFS (p=0.3) and response rate (p=0.6). InterpretationKRAS mutation status is a treatment effect modifier for anti-EGFR antibodies in metastatic CRC. Further evidence is needed to determine whether this is true for all chemotherapy partners and all clinical circumstances.