Abstract

We develop a decentralized Bayesian model of college admissions with two ranked colleges, heterogeneous students and two realistic match frictions: students find it costly to apply to college, and college evaluations of their applications is uncertain. Students thus face a portfolio choice problem in their application decision, while colleges choose admissions standards that act like market-clearing prices. Enrollment at each college is affected by the standards at the other college through student portfolio reallocation. In equilibrium, student-college sorting may fail: weaker students sometimes apply more aggressively, and the weaker college might impose higher standards. Applying our framework, we analyze affirmative action, showing how it induces minority applicants to construct their application portfolios as if they were majority students of higher caliber.

Highlights

  • The college admissions process has lately been the object of much scrutiny, both from academics and in the popular press

  • This paper examines the joint behavior of students and colleges in equilibrium

  • College enrollments are interdependent, both because the student portfolios depend on the joint college admissions standards, and because students accepted at the better college will not attend the lesser one even if accepted

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Summary

A Supply and Demand Model of the College Admissions Problem

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Introduction
The Model
The Student Optimization Problem
Admission Chances and Student Calibers
A Supply and Demand Approach
Changing College Sizes and Application Costs
Do Colleges and Students Sort in Equilibrium?
The Spillover Effects of Affirmative Action
Early Admissions
Concluding Remarks
Colleges Optimally Employ Admissions Thresholds
Simultaneous versus Sequential Timing
Acceptance Function and Signals
Acceptance Function Shape
Monotone Student Strategies
The Law of Demand
Existence of a Stable Equilibrium
Sorting Equilibrium Implies Stochastic Dominance of Types
Changing Application Costs
A.10 Sorting and Non-Sorting
Σ2 Σ1 2'
A.11 Affirmative Action
Findings
A.12 Student Poaching
Full Text
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