A Study of Key Factors for Energy Policy Modelling

Abstract

Environmental problems and high fossil fuel import dependency are core energy problems facing the EU, which has therefore committed itself to increasing its share of renewable energy sources (RES) to 20% by 2020. The implementation of planned measures is usually the most challenging issue in such a situation; therefore, energy models addressing this issue were studied. Because their specificity means that their usability is limited, we developed a more general model focused on the implementation of the planned measures for the development of a more sustainable energy policy with a higher share of RES. The key factors for modelling this transition were identified and examined, and a comparative analysis of Slovenian, EU, and global energy statistics and analyzed energy mix were carried out. In addition, RES potentials were evaluated, future energy demand was forecast, and compatibility of RES potentials and future energy demand was tested. Based on the results, two energy modelling approaches were developed.