A striking elevation of CA19-9 after preoperative therapy negates prognostic benefit from radical surgery in resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer

Abstract

Identifying patients who can be spared nonbeneficial surgery is crucial, as pancreatic cancer surgery is highly invasive, with substantial negative effects on quality of life. The study objective was to investigate a useful indicator of patients who do not gain prognostic benefit from radical surgery after neoadjuvant therapy for resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer. We compared factors among 609 patients with resectable or borderline resectable pancreatic cancer receiving neoadjuvant therapy during 2005-2019. Patients were divided into a poor-prognosis group (no surgery or postresection recurrence within a year) and a good-prognosis group (no recurrence or recurrence >1year after resection). Patients who experience a recurrence within a year of resection (poor-prognosis group) did no better than patients who received neoadjuvant therapy and progressed but never made it to surgery. The value of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 after neoadjuvant therapy was the most significant indicator to predict the poor prognosis group and the elevation of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (>200 U/mL) identified only poor prognosis group with high specificity of 96.6%. The overall survival of patients with more than 200 of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 after neoadjuvant therapy was significantly very poor and their 2-year survival rate was only 41.4%. A striking elevation of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 after neoadjuvant therapy for resectable or borderline resectable pancreatic cancer is a good indicator of poor prognosis. Patients with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 >200 U/mL after neoadjuvant therapy should not undergo radical surgery.