Abstract

As part of the era of globalisation, the foreign market expansion of retailers is a trend that draws the attention of economists and researchers alike, and is an ever-expanding field of scholarly review. Africa is no exception to the process of globalisation, and as the local South African retail market becomes saturated with increasing levels of competition, large retailers are gradually experiencing more pressure to expand their footprint into other African countries. Foreign market expansion is a business decision that requires a structured analytical framework to assist in the decision-making efforts of potential foreign investors. Models can be synthesised to assess and prioritise which market, country, or region to enter next; what the opportunities and risk of such a move will be; and what the business case would look like in terms of cost and benefit. Only a limited amount of literature discusses this topic in the specific context of South African retailers, creating an opportunity for further research. This paper presents a strategic decision-support model to assist South African retailers in making well-informed decisions about which sub-Saharan African market to enter next. A holistic approach is taken that covers various disciplines, including supply chain management, economics of development, and financial management.

Highlights

  • As the local South African retail market becomes saturated with increasing levels of competition, large retailers are gradually experiencing more pressure to consider expansion into emerging African markets

  • Foreign market expansion is a business decision that requires a structured analytical framework to assist in the decision-making efforts of potential foreign investors

  • Macro-economic data show that many African countries have experienced an improvement in factors such as gross domestic product (GDP), labour productivity, democracy, infrastructure, foreign direct investment, and job creation, as well as a decline in foreign debt and inflation, over the past 10 years [4]

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Summary

28 Mar 2018 17 Sep 2018 10 Dec 2018

As part of the era of globalisation, the foreign market expansion of retailers is a trend that draws the attention of economists and researchers alike, and is an ever-expanding field of scholarly review. This paper presents a strategic decision-support model to assist South African retailers in making well-informed decisions about which sub-Saharan African market to enter next. Afrika is geen uitsondering in die globaliseringsproses nie, en soos die plaaslike Suid-Afrikaanse kleinhandeln versadigingspunt in mededingingsvlakke bereik, word groot kleinhandelaars gedwing om hulle in ander Afrika-lande te vestig. Uitbreiding na buitelandse markte isn besigheidsbesluit wat opn analitiese raamwerk baseer moet word ten einde beleggers te help in hulle besluitnemingsproses. Modelle kan saamgestel word om vas te stel watter mark, land of streek vervolgensn prioriteit behoort te wees vir besigheidsuitbreiding; watter geleenthede en risiko son skuif inhou; en wat die besigheidsplan ten opsigte van koste en voordele inhou. Hierdie artikel biedn strategiese besluitondersteuningsmodel om Suid-Afrikaanse kleinhandelaars te help omn ingeligte besluit te neem na watter sub-Sahara Afrika mark hulle volgende moet uitbrei. Hierdie artikel biedn strategiese besluitondersteuningsmodel om Suid-Afrikaanse kleinhandelaars te help omn ingeligte besluit te neem na watter sub-Sahara Afrika mark hulle volgende moet uitbrei. ʼn Holistiese benadering word voorgehou wat verskeie dissiplines soos voorsieningskettingbestuur, ontwikkelingsekonomie en finansiële bestuur insluit

INTRODUCTION
BACKGROUND
Rationale of the research
Key concepts and definitions
Quantitative and qualitative input variables
Tools and techniques
THE PROPOSED DECISION-SUPPORT MODEL
Literature content analysis and AHP
Validation of Sub-model 1: A case study
Individual Participant Results
Sub-model 2
Literature Study
Monte Carlo simulation
Benefit-cost analysis
Final proposed decision-support model
CONCLUSION
Full Text
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