A Stochastic Modelling Approach to Student Performance Prediction on an Internet-Mediated Environment

Abstract

Student performance prediction presents institutions and learners with results that assist them to gauge their academic abilities within their context of learning. Performance prediction has been done using different approaches over the years. In this case, stochastic modelling is used and it takes into consideration the use of random variables in the prediction process. The random variables are generated from different scenarios in order to generate a possible output. As a result, the generated output is used to indicate the likelihood of very rare occurrence scenarios which may or may not take place at a future date. With the vast availability of educational data that is available within the learning sector, this data forms the basis of input data that is required for the prediction of student performance within internet-worked environments. This paper develops the prediction model using Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). This then gives way to the analysis of data collected from varied respondents within universities leading to the generation of a student performance trajectory.