A Stochastic Bayesian Neural Network for the Mosquito Dispersal Mathematical System

Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine numerical evaluations of the mosquito dispersal mathematical system (MDMS) in a heterogeneous atmosphere through artificial intelligence (AI) techniques via Bayesian regularization neural networks (BSR-NNs). The MDMS is constructed with six classes, i.e., eggs, larvae, pupae, host, resting mosquito, and ovipositional site densities-based ODEs system. The computing BSR-NNs scheme is applied for three different performances using the data of training, testing and verification, which is divided as 75%, 15%, 10% with twelve hidden neurons. The result comparisons are provided to check the authenticity of the designed AI method portrayed by the BSR-NNs. The AI based BSR-NNs procedure is executed to reduce the mean square error (MSE) for the MDMS. The achieved performances are also presented to validate the efficiency of BSR-NNs scheme using the process of MSE, correlation, error histograms and regression.