Abstract

Short-term energy prediction plays an important role in green manufacturing in the industrial internet environment and has become the basis of energy wastage identification, energy-saving plans and energy-saving control. However, the short-term energy prediction of multiple nodes in manufacturing systems is still a challenging issue owing to the fuzzy material flow (spatial relationship) and the dynamic production rhythm (temporal relationship). To obtain the complex spatial and temporal relationships, a spatio-temporal deep learning network (STDLN) method is presented for the short-term energy consumption prediction of multiple nodes in manufacturing systems. The method combines a graph convolutional network (GCN) and a gated recurrent unit (GRU) and predicts the future energy consumption of multiple nodes based on prior knowledge of material flow and the historical energy consumption time series. The GCN is aimed at capturing spatial relationships, with the material flow represented by a topology model, and the GRU is aimed at capturing dynamic rhythm from the energy consumption time series. To evaluate the method presented, several experiments were performed on the power consumption dataset of an aluminum profile plant. The results show that the method presented can predict the energy consumption of multiple nodes simultaneously and achieve a higher performance than methods based on the GRU, GCN, support vector regression (SVR), etc.

Highlights

  • It can be seen that the spatio-temporal deep learning network (STDLN) method obtained the best prediction performance under all evaluation metrics and all datasets, and the result proves the effectiveness of the STDLN method for short-term energy consumption prediction of multiple nodes in the case studied

  • Compared with the XGT, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and support vector regression (SVR) for the prediction of the 5 min set, the Root mean squared error (RMSE) of the STDLN method were reduced by 48.69%, 56.69% and 19.26%, respectively; the Mean absolute error (MAE) were reduced by 66.15%, 71.10% and 21.21%, respectively; the Acc values were higher, at 76.70%, 30.90% and 32.70%; and the R2 values were higher, at 82.60%, 57.70% and 35.60%

  • This paper presented a spatio-temporal deep learning network (STDLN) model for short-term energy consumption prediction of multiple nodes in a manufacturing system

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Summary

Introduction

Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. In the context of global warming and fossil fuel depletion, green manufacturing has drawn more and more attention. Energy saving in manufacturing processes is one of the core goals of green manufacturing, and it has been well supported by industrial internets, which enable real-time collection of energy consumption from smart energy meters. Shortterm (i.e., hourly or minute-by-minute) energy prediction plays an important role in green manufacturing and has become the basis of energy wastage identification, energysaving plans and energy-saving control [1–4]. Short-term energy prediction in manufacturing systems is still a challenging issue owing to its complex spatial and temporal relationships between production nodes

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