Abstract
The size of harvests temporarily decreases following stock-recovery programs for overexploited resources. The process of stock recovery is quite uncertain, because of unknown life-history parameters, changes in environmental conditions, and human impact. To project future stock recovery, we considered a size-structured matrix model of a stock-recovery program, in which the minimum body size in the first harvest is increased. We applied some common concepts, including yield per recruitment, spawning per recruitment, and reproductive value, to a size-structured matrix model that incorporated economic discounting. The size-structured model predicted the following characteristics in stock-recovery processes: several years must pass for the harvest to increase, and the time-lag between the inception of the management program and the increase in the catch is caused by intergenerational momentum in demography. We also investigated the effects on the recovery process of temporal environmental fluctuations. We applied our model to a stock-recovery program of the corbiculid Seta clam ( Corbicula sandai ) in Lake Biwa, Japan.
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