A simulation-driven prediction model for state of charge estimation of electric vehicle lithium battery

Abstract

Accurately predicting the state of charge (SOC) of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles is crucial for ensuring their stable operation. However, the component values related to SOC in the circuit typically require estimation through parameter identification. This paper proposes a three-stage method for estimating the SOC of lithium batteries in electric vehicles. Firstly, the parameters of the constructed second-order RC circuit are identified using the Forgetting Factor Recursive Least Squares (FFRLS) method. Secondly, an innovative approach is employed to construct a battery simulation model using modal-data fusion method. Finally, the predicted values of the simulation model are corrected using the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). Validation through datasets demonstrates the high precision of this method in parameter identification. Moreover, in the comparison of SOC prediction corrections with Particle Filter (PF), Extended Kalman Filter (EKF), and the proposed UKF on simulated prediction data and experimental test data. The proposed method achieves the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0025 for simulation prediction data and 0.0186 for experimental test data. It also maintained its error within 5 % on actual data.