Abstract

In this paper, we present a new nonparametric method for estimating a conditional quantile function and develop its weak convergence theory. The proposed estimator is computationally easy to implement and automatically ensures quantile monotonicity by construction. For inference, we propose to use a residual bootstrap method. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that this new estimator compares well with the check-function-based estimator in terms of estimation mean squared error. The bootstrap confidence bands yield adequate coverage probabilities. An empirical example uses a dataset of Canadian high school graduate earnings, illustrating the usefulness of the proposed method in applications.

Highlights

  • Quantile regression has become a very useful tool in economics, statistics, and other social sciences

  • We consider a location-scale model given in (1), but differing from the existing literature, we focus on the problem of estimating the conditional quantile function of Yi given Xi = x based on a location-scale quantile model framework

  • To avoid calculating complicated leading bias terms in the conditional quantile estimator, we suggest using the undersmoothed smoothing parameters hj, j = 1,2, in constructing bootstrap confidence bands

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Summary

A SIMPLE NONPARAMETRIC APPROACH FOR ESTIMATION AND

We present a new nonparametric method for estimating a conditional quantile function and develop its weak convergence theory.The proposed estimator is computationally easy to implement and automatically ensures quantile monotonicity by construction. We propose to use a residual bootstrap method. Our Monte Carlo simulations show that this new estimator compares well with the checkfunction-based estimator in terms of estimation mean squared error. The bootstrap confidence bands yield adequate coverage probabilities. An empirical example uses a dataset of Canadian high school graduate earnings, illustrating the usefulness of the proposed method in applications

INTRODUCTION
METHODOLOGY
ASYMPTOTIC THEORY
BOOTSTRAP INFERENCE
Uniform Bootstrap Confidence Interval Algorithm
Uniform Bootstrap Confidence Interval Theory
THE LOCAL LINEAR QUANTILE ESTIMATOR
MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
MSE Comparison
A Pretest Estimator
Bootstrap Uniform Confidence Interval Coverage Ratio
AN EMPIRICAL APPLICATION
CONCLUSION
Some Useful Lemmas
Findings
Proofs of Main Results
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