Abstract

In the theory of complex systems, long tailed probability distributions are often discussed. For such a probability distribution, a deformed expectation with respect to an escort distribution is more useful than the standard expectation. In this paper, by generalizing such escort distributions, a sequence of escort distributions is introduced. As a consequence, it is shown that deformed expectations with respect to sequential escort distributions effectively work for anomalous statistics. In particular, it is shown that a Fisher metric on a q-exponential family can be obtained from the escort expectation with respect to the second escort distribution, and a cubic form (or an Amari–Chentsov tensor field, equivalently) is obtained from the escort expectation with respect to the third escort distribution.

Highlights

  • Long tailed probability distributions and their related probability distributions are important objects in anomalous statistical physics

  • Since an escort distribution gives a suitable weight for tail probability, the escort expectation which is the expectation with respect to an escort distribution is more useful than the standard one

  • A deformed exponential family is an important statistical model in anomalous statistics. Such a statistical model is described by such a deformed exponential function

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Summary

Introduction

Long tailed probability distributions and their related probability distributions are important objects in anomalous statistical physics (cf. [1,2,3]). A deformed exponential family is an important statistical model in anomalous statistics Such a statistical model is described by such a deformed exponential function. The author showed that a deformed score function is unbiased with respect to the escort expectation [8,9]. This implies that a deformed score function is regarded as an estimating function on a deformed exponential family. Properties of escort expectations are closely related to geometric structures on a deformed exponential family. See [12,13], for example

Deformed Exponential Families
Escort Distributions and Generalizations of Expectations
Statistical Manifolds and Their Generalized Conformal Structures
Statistical Manifold Structures on q-Exponential Families
Concluding Remarks
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