A Self-Adaptive Prediction Algorithm for Cloud Workloads

Abstract

It is difficult to analyze the workload in complex cloud computing environments with a single prediction algorithm as each algorithm has its own shortcomings. A self-adaptive prediction algorithm combining the advantages of linear regression (LR) and a BP neural network to predict workloads in clouds is proposed in this paper. The main idea of the self-adaptive prediction algorithm is to choose the better prediction method of the future workload. Some experiments of prediction algorithms are conducted with workloads on the public cloud servers. The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has a relatively high accuracy on the workload predictions compared with the BP neural network and LR. Furthermore, in order to use the proposed algorithm in a cloud data center, a dynamic scheduling architecture of cloud resources is designed to improve resource utilization and reduce energy consumption.