Abstract

Objective To develop a mathematical model used in health management system and community medical care as a tool for health risk appraisal to predict the lung cancer risk of Chinese population. Methods Data of lung cancer in Chinese of the past 2 decades was collected and analyzed, group consensus was perforined among multidisciplinary researchers to identify major risk factors and their relative risk. The equation of the Harvard Cancer Risk Index was used to compute the relative and absolute lung cancer risk. Results A mathematical model for the prediction of lung cancer risk was developed by way of medical thistory and lifestyle questionnaire. Conclusions This model can be used in Chinese for the risk estimation of lung cancer, beneficial to inform users of the major risk factors for lung cancer. Key words: Lung neoplasms; Risk factors; Risk assessment; Mathematical model

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