Abstract

A mathematical model of heat flux in which net flux was assumed to be proportional to the surface temperature was used to examine the effects of important environmental variables on minimum surface temperatures reached during cloudless nights. Variables considered were altitude, atmospheric water content, surface emissivity, soil heat capacity and conductivity, length of night, and initial starting temperature. Final temperatures reached were especially sensitive to changes in soil thermal conductivity and heat capacity. Both these parameters are affected by moisture content (particularly when low), making this the single most important factor affecting the severity of frost. Lower initial starting temperatures and longer nights increase the severity of frosting, as does any decrease in the depth of the atmosphere (as happens with changes in altitude) or reductions in the water content of the atmosphere. Emissivity of the radiating surface is relatively unimportant. Temperature profiles in the soil were similar, but extended to greater depths as heat capacitance declined, whereas lower thermal conductivity resulted in cooler surface temperatures while the decline in temperature did not extend as deep. The model was shown to be an improvement on one in which net flux was assumed to remain constant, and allows for a more instructive sensitivity analysis.

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