Abstract
At the end of December 2019, an outbreak of COVID-19 occurred in Wuhan city, China. Modelling plays a crucial role in developing a strategy to prevent a disease outbreak from spreading around the globe. Models have contributed to the perspicacity of epidemiological variations between and within nations and the planning of desired control strategies. In this paper, a literature review was conducted to summarise knowledge about COVID-19 disease modelling in three countries—China, the UK and Australia—to develop a robust research framework for the regional areas that are urban and rural health districts of New South Wales, Australia. In different aspects of modelling, summarising disease and intervention strategies can help policymakers control the outbreak of COVID-19 and may motivate modelling disease-related research at a finer level of regional geospatial scales in the future.
Highlights
Over the last few decades, the world faced a massive challenge in controlling infectious disease outbreaks in several areas [1]
This study found that most of the models, except medical-care-based connection models, showed a significant spatial relationship of COVID-19 infections, which means that the management of the spatial spread in the early stage of COVID-19 is very significant for the control of the further transmission
The results showed that temperature and rainfall have no relationship with COVID-19 in New South Wales (NSW), while low temperature and low humidity are suitable for the survival and spread of the virus, because they dry out the mucous membrane, reduce the function of cilia and facilitate the spread of suspended matter in the atmosphere [84,85]
Summary
Citation: Rahman, A.; Kuddus, M.A.; Ip, R.H.L.; Bewong, M. A Review of COVID-19 Modelling Strategies in and Michael Bewong 1 Institute for Land, Water and Society (ILWS), Charles Sturt University, Albury, NSW 2640, Australia Australian Institute of Tropical Health and Medicine, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4814, Australia
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