A Retrospective Study to Evaluate the Association Between the Glasgow Prognostic Score and Atrial Fibrillation, Stroke, and Mortality at 30 Days and at 1 Year After Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery.

Abstract

BACKGROUND The Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) consists of a combination of serum C-reactive protein and albumin levels as indicators of systematic inflammatory response and nutritional status, respectively. The present retrospective study aimed to evaluate the association between the GPS and atrial fibrillation, stroke, and mortality at 30 days and 1 year after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. MATERIAL AND METHODS Patients with chronic coronary syndromes who underwent CABG surgery between 2012 and 2019 in a single center were included. Preoperative GPS was calculated. Then, patients were grouped according to postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) development. Further, groups were formed to evaluate the relationship between GPS and 30-day and 1-year cardiovascular mortality as well as stroke development. RESULTS Patients who developed POAF had higher GPS, higher European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE II) score, advanced age, lower angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker (ACEI/ARB) use, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, and were more likely to be female and to have a history of carotid artery disease (P<0.05, for all). Additionally, GPS, EuroSCORE II, advanced age, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction were detected as independent risk factors for POAF development. When adverse outcomes were assessed, cardiovascular mortality at 30 days or 1 year, and stroke development at 1 year, were more frequent in patients with POAF. Moreover, POAF development was found to be an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes. Also, GPS was established as an independent risk factor both for 30-day and 1-year cardiovascular mortality (P<0.0001 and P=0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS GPS is an easy-to-calculate score that has reasonable diagnostic accuracy in determining the risk of POAF and stroke as well as 30-day and 1-year cardiovascular mortality.