Abstract

Household appliances and lighting devices are the main terminals of electric energy in residential area. The demand of end-use electric energy is increasing with the development and innovation of household appliances. This paper analyzes the main factors influencing the terminal power consumption, provides a new method to estimate residential end-use electric energy consumption based on the purchase probability model of household appliances and lighting demand model, and optimizes the model according to the survey results in Fujian province, finally through the historical data of Fujian province to verify the model.

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