Abstract

This research replicates in Phoenix, Arizona a study originally conducted by DiMaggio et al. (2020) that investigated the associations between positive COVID-19 tests and demographic, socioeconomic, and racial characteristics in New York City at the ZIP Code Tabulation Area level. We extend that work through a conceptual replication that introduces covariates appropriate to Phoenix, AZ. Our direct replication, which focuses on that city’s first wave of COVID-19 (May 31, 2020 to August 1, 2020), demonstrates that the framework used by DiMaggio et al. can be transferred across cities, but also identifies specification decisions that need careful consideration. Our conceptual replication identifies the proportion of Hispanic residents, rather than that of Black/African American residents, to be a key predictor of positive COVID-19 testing. This finding sheds light on the dynamics of race during the pandemic.

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