A reliability estimation method based on two‐phase Wiener process with evidential variable using two types of testing data

Abstract

AbstractThe evidential variable shows the powerful ability on the parameter description, so we have cooperated it with the linear Wiener process to model linear degradation processes. However, the degradation paths of some products exhibit two‐phase patterns over the running time, which cannot be modeled by the linear Wiener process. Hence, it is developed into an associated evidential variable‐based two‐phase Wiener process. In order to utilize the proposed model, the related evidence obtaining, evidence fusion and performance inference approaches are constructed. A simulation study and an actual case are performed to verify the superiorities of the proposed method. The proposed method provides higher accuracies of the useful life, degradation, and reliability evaluations, due to utilizing the evidential variable and considering the two‐phase degradation conditions.