Abstract
ABSTRACTThis article is a critique on the use of fault-tree analysis, probability calculus, and the concept of acceptable risk for addressing issues of public safety. Probabilistic risk analysis has been introduced into public debate to demonstrate the safety of technological hazards; however, its applicability is questioned because the analysis' methodology contains several serious flaws. These flaws include incompleteness, inaccuracy, and inappropriateness. Examples from recent accidents are used to illustrate these flaws.
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